Modeling platform

The purpose of the Chair's prospective modeling platform is to allow exchanges and the confrontation between modeling teams, administrations and partners of the Chair about lighting that prospective modeling can bring about public policies related to the energy transition (notably in France).

If the lessons of our different prospective exercises are declined in publications, they do not allow to expose the richness of the results produced by the models that we deploy.

We propose here to explore along a complementary path a selection of our studies:
- On the electric vehicle with the provision of a tool that allows to understand the impact of the deployment of this mode of transport on the load curve of the Ile de France region
- On the electric generation mix in France with a first study showing variations around a 100% renewable mix by 2050

In addition, several seminars are organized each year in order to decipher the analyzes carried out and the tools deployed. They come in two forms:

Seminar of the Chair MPDD on key Challenges for Modeling Low carbon Transition

These workshops will focus on key controversies about the physical, technical and economic constraints of this transition and how public policies can integrate them to maximize the economic and social benefits of this transition. They will provide support for the prospective assessment of the impacts of the measures reported in the bi-annual reports (AME and AMS scenarios) of the DGEC in liaison with ADEME, and the five-year monitoring of GHG emissions under the MMR Regulation.

Methodological workshops and online publication of model scenario results

Starting from the modeling work, workshops organized around accessible data, results and methodological choices, will help both to understand the conditions of a good use of the models in their current state of development and to discuss, between modellers and users, the methodological hurdles to overcome for improved tools. These debates will be made available to the interested public, including the results of the models..

These seminars are organized multi-year and are invited to French modeling teams, experts from the partners of the Chair and French ministries as well as international organizations based in Paris (IEA, OECD, UNEP). These half-day seminars gather around three themes, the selection of specific topics for each seminar taking place during the Chair's Monitoring Committees, and for some, a co-organization with institutions whose expertise is considered relevant will be considered:

  • Technico-economic dimensions of the transition, such as taking into account the reliability of electricity grids, issues of spatiality, temporal dynamics, the representation of deposits for technologies such as CCS, biofuels, externalities of the energy and the availability of land and water
  • Macroeconomic and financial dimension of the transition with, for example, themes such as the comparison of single prices - differentiated prices, complementarity of financial tools - tax tools or the impact of the energy transition on growth and employment
  • International dimension of the enrergy transition

The results of these workshops lead to a) a short summary note "Prospective Perspectives" shared by all partners that will give the implications of the workshop in terms of framing the public deliberation and b) where possible and perceived as having real added value the publication of a working paper of the Chair that will include contributions from contributors..